โกปา ลิเบอร์ตาโดเรส · ROUND OF 16 · พ. 19 ส.ค. · 05:00 น. LOCAL
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อินเดเปนดิเอนเตีย ริวาดาเวีย
PEN
1 1
AFTER PENALTIES
ฟลูมิเนนเซ่
⚽ 90+7' Alex Arce ⚽ 120+1' Matías Fernández ⚽ 120+2' Iván Villalba ⚽ 120+3' Jose Ignacio Florentin ⚽ 120+4' Maximiliano Salas ⚽ 120+5' Alex Arce ⚽ 120+6' R. Atencio
ประตู
⚽ 75' K. Serna ⚽ 120+1' Thiago Silva ⚽ 120+2' L. Acosta ⚽ 120+3' Renê ⚽ 120+4' Hércules ⚽ 120+5' Martinelli ⚽ 120+6' Guga
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
IND
1 1
FLU
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
ทีเด็ด AI อินเดเปนดิเอนเตีย ริวาดาเวีย TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

AI เห็นนัดนี้อย่างไร

FINAL · VERIFIED
IND WIN 38%
เสมอ 38%
FLU WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match tied at 90' with 45 minutes of extra time ahead; slight lean to draw given defensive shape and late leveller.

🤖 AI REASONING ทำไม AI เลือกแบบนี้
WHY INDEPEND. RIVADAVIA FAVORED
38%
Current 1–1 scoreline at end of regulation (90') dramatically shifts baseline from pre-match — draw is now baseline outcome
+25.0%
Independ. Rivadavia strong at home (WWLDW) but already equalised via penalty; Fluminense compact away (DL in sample)
+20.0%
Copa Libertadores extra time format favours defensive shape; both sides have made 3–4 changes, suggesting fatigue
+15.0%
WHY FLUMINENSE CHALLENGED
24%
Current 1–1 scoreline at end of regulation (90') dramatically shifts baseline from pre-match — draw is now baseline outcome
+25.0%
Independ. Rivadavia strong at home (WWLDW) but already equalised via penalty; Fluminense compact away (DL in sample)
+20.0%
Copa Libertadores extra time format favours defensive shape; both sides have made 3–4 changes, suggesting fatigue
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Current 1–1 scoreline at end of regulation (90') dramatically shifts baseline from pre-match — draw is now baseline outcome
  • Independ. Rivadavia strong at home (WWLDW) but already equalised via penalty; Fluminense compact away (DL in sample)
  • Copa Libertadores extra time format favours defensive shape; both sides have made 3–4 changes, suggesting fatigue
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

แผนเวลาความน่าจะเป็น

AI คำนวณความน่าจะเป็นใหม่หลังแต่ละเหตุการณ์
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 75' K. SERNA 97' ALEX ARCE 121' THIAGO SIL 121' MATíAS FE 122' L. ACOSTA 122' IVáN VILL 123' JOSE IGNAC 123' RENê 124' HéRCULES 124' MAXIMILIAN 125' MARTINELLI 125' ALEX ARCE 126' GUGA 126' R. ATENCIO
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 14 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

ความน่าจะเป็นสกอร์

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

ทีเด็ด AI

ที่ AI เห็นความได้เปรียบเทียบกับราคาบุคคีย์
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
ตลาดราคาความน่าจะเป็น AIราคาเหมาะสมเอดจ์
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.85
38.0%
2.63
+8.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.15
48.0%
2.08
+3.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
76.0%
1.32
+2.9%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.57
38.0%
2.63
-2.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.75
35.0%
2.86
-3.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.47
62.0%
1.61
-9.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.40
62.0%
1.61
-13.0%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.08
24.0%
4.17
-26.0%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are ไม่ใช่การรับประกัน. Bet responsibly.